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Predicting neurological outcome in adult patients with cardiac arrest: systematic review and meta-analysis of prediction model performance
JournalArticle (Originalarbeit in einer wissenschaftlichen Zeitschrift)
 
ID 4655544
Author(s) Amacher, Simon A.; Blatter, René; Briel, Matthias; Appenzeller-Herzog, Christian; Bohren, Chantal; Becker, Christoph; Beck, Katharina; Gross, Sebastian; Tisljar, Kai; Sutter, Raoul; Marsch, Stephan; Hunziker, Sabina
Author(s) at UniBasel Appenzeller-Herzog, Christian
Amacher, Simon
Blatter, René
Briel, Matthias
Bohren, Chantal
Becker, Christoph
Gross, Sebastian
Tisljar, Kai
Marsch, Stephan
Hunziker, Sabina
Sutter, Raoul Christian
Year 2022
Title Predicting neurological outcome in adult patients with cardiac arrest: systematic review and meta-analysis of prediction model performance
Journal Critical care
Volume 26
Number 1
Pages / Article-Number 382
Keywords CAHP; Cardiac arrest; GO-FAR; Neurological outcome; OHCA; Prediction model; Prognostication
Mesh terms Humans; Adult; Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation; Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest, therapy; Prognosis; Intensive Care Units; Hospitals
Abstract This work aims to assess the performance of two post-arrest (out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, OHCA, and cardiac arrest hospital prognosis, CAHP) and one pre-arrest (good outcome following attempted resuscitation, GO-FAR) prediction model for the prognostication of neurological outcome after cardiac arrest in a systematic review and meta-analysis. A systematic search was conducted in Embase, Medline, and Web of Science Core Collection from November 2006 to December 2021, and by forward citation tracking of key score publications. The search identified 1'021 records, of which 25 studies with a total of 124'168 patients were included in the review. A random-effects meta-analysis of C-statistics and overall calibration (total observed vs. expected [O:E] ratio) was conducted. Discriminatory performance was good for the OHCA (summary C-statistic: 0.83 [95% CI 0.81-0.85], 16 cohorts) and CAHP score (summary C-statistic: 0.84 [95% CI 0.82-0.87], 14 cohorts) and acceptable for the GO-FAR score (summary C-statistic: 0.78 [95% CI 0.72-0.84], five cohorts). Overall calibration was good for the OHCA (total O:E ratio: 0.78 [95% CI 0.67-0.92], nine cohorts) and the CAHP score (total O:E ratio: 0.78 [95% CI 0.72-0.84], nine cohorts) with an overestimation of poor outcome. Overall calibration of the GO-FAR score was poor with an underestimation of good outcome (total O:E ratio: 1.62 [95% CI 1.28-2.04], five cohorts). Two post-arrest scores showed good prognostic accuracy for predicting neurological outcome after cardiac arrest and may support early discussions about goals-of-care and therapeutic planning on the intensive care unit. A pre-arrest score showed acceptable prognostic accuracy and may support code status discussions.
Publisher BioMed Central
ISSN/ISBN 1364-8535 ; 1466-609X
edoc-URL https://edoc.unibas.ch/91451/
Full Text on edoc Available
Digital Object Identifier DOI 10.1186/s13054-022-04263-y
PubMed ID http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36503620
ISI-Number WOS:000897783000001
Document type (ISI) Journal Article
 
   

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