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Three gaps and what they may mean for risk preference
JournalArticle (Originalarbeit in einer wissenschaftlichen Zeitschrift)
 
ID 4515381
Author(s) Hertwig, Ralph; Wulff, Dirk U.; Mata, Rui
Author(s) at UniBasel Mata, Rui
Wulff, Dirk
Year 2019
Title Three gaps and what they may mean for risk preference
Journal Philosophical Transactions B: Biological Sciences
Volume 374
Number 1766
Pages / Article-Number 20180140
Keywords convergent validity; description–experience gap; revealed preferences; risk preference; stated preference; temporal stability
Abstract Risk preference is one of the most important building blocks of choice theories in the behavioural sciences. In economics, it is often conceptualized as preferences concerning the variance of monetary payoffs, whereas in psychology, risk preference is often thought to capture the propensity to engage in behaviour with the potential for loss or harm. Both concepts are associated with distinct measurement traditions: economics has traditionally relied on behavioural measures, while psychology has often relied on self-reports. We review three important gaps that have emerged from work stemming from these two measurement traditions: first, a description-experience gap which suggests that behavioural measures do not speak with one voice and can give very different views on an individual's appetite for risk; second, a behaviour-self-report gap which suggests that different self-report measures, but not behavioural measures, show a high degree of convergent validity; and, third, a temporal stability gap which suggests that self-reports, but not behavioural measures, show considerable temporal stability across periods of years. Risk preference, when measured through self-reports-but not behavioural tests-appears as a moderately stable psychological trait with both general and domain-specific components. We argue that future work needs to address the gaps that have emerged from the two measurement traditions and test their differential predictive validity for important economic, health and well-being outcomes. This article is part of the theme issue 'Risk taking and impulsive behaviour: fundamental discoveries, theoretical perspectives and clinical implications'.
Publisher The Royal Society
ISSN/ISBN 0962-8436 ; 1471-2970
edoc-URL https://edoc.unibas.ch/72324/
Full Text on edoc No
Digital Object Identifier DOI 10.1098/rstb.2018.0140
PubMed ID http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30966925
ISI-Number WOS:000459333400010
Document type (ISI) Journal Article
 
   

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