In a letter, Benjamin Franklin (1789) once famously remarked that in this world there is nothing certain
but death and taxes. Indeed, risk and uncertainty dominate decisions ranging from taking the subway
instead of a taxi, to undergoing surgery instead of chemotherapy, to investing in stocks instead of bonds.
Although we cannot help but navigate a world full of risk and uncertainty, not everyone responds to them
in the same way. In fact, people differ widely in how they deal with risk: Some people refrain from all
risky bets, whether in the stock market, in their profession (e.g., never change jobs) or, simply, in daily
habits (e.g., always carry an umbrella); others may thrive on the opportunities associated with risk, and
even actively seek out situations that would frighten others (e.g., running with the bulls in Pamplona or
experimenting with illegal drugs).
For a long time, psychologist and economists have been developing behavioral paradigms to measure how
people respond to risks and uncertainties. However, theoretical conceptions of risk taking differ across
disciplines. Economists typically define risk as the variability of outcomes and risk taking as a preference
for this variability. Clinicians and psychologists, on the other hand, often define risk taking as behavior
with potentially harmful and negative consequences. Grounded in these theoretical views, the behavioral
paradigms measuring risk taking differ substantially between the disciplines. Whereas economists use
rather simple but well-defined choices between monetary gambles to measure risk taking, clinicians use
more complex, but also more natural risk-taking paradigms. Both approaches have documented a large
inter-individual variability in people’s risk taking, but the determinants of this variability are still largely
unknown. Recent research, however, suggests that biological factors such as a person’s genetic make up
and hormone levels contribute to a person’s appetite or disdain for risk. To address this, we will elicit risk
taking using a wide array of behavioral paradigms and investigate risk taking, taking into account its
cognitive, genetic, and hormonal foundations.
Adopting a multi-disciplinary approach by linking decision science, cognitive psychology and cognitive
and molecular neuroscience enables us to pursue several important objectives: First, building upon but
also going beyond recent research, we will measure the psychological phenotype, risk taking (in a large
sample of healthy participants), by taking advantage of a plurality of measurement paradigms, ranging
from risky choices between well-defined alternatives in a stable environment to repeated choices between
alternatives with unknown consequences. Second, by rendering use of computational modeling techniques
(developed in cognitive science and psychology), we will identify the cognitive mechanisms and processes
underlying risk taking. Third, we then will relate overt behavior and cognitive processes (identified via
modeling) to variations in various genetic polymorphisms and hormonal states, respectively.
Consequently, we can comprehensively investigate to what extent differences in risk-taking behavior and
in associated cognitive processes can be mapped onto differences in biological properties. Our
multi-method and multi-disciplinary approach promises to substantially elucidate the molecular genetic
physiology and hormonal underpinnings of people’s risk-taking and inter-individual variations on this
important dimension of human behavior. This knowledge will be of crucial importance in developing
better diagnostic tools for measuring risk taking, and the identification and treatment of pathological risk
taking such as drug addiction or gambling. |