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Testing and dating of structural changes in practice
JournalArticle (Originalarbeit in einer wissenschaftlichen Zeitschrift)
 
ID 103074
Author(s) Zeileis, A; Kleiber, C; Krämer, W; Hornik, K
Author(s) at UniBasel Kleiber, Christian
Year 2003
Title Testing and dating of structural changes in practice
Journal Computational statistics & data analysis
Volume 44
Number 1-2
Pages / Article-Number 109-123
Keywords structural change, changepoint problem, segmented regressions, R, S, bellman principle
Abstract

An approach to the analysis of data that contains (multiple) structural changes in a linear regression setup is presented. Various strategies which have been suggested in the literature for testing against structural changes as well as a dynamic programming algorithm for the dating of the breakpoints are implemented in the R statistical software package. Using historical data on Nile river discharges, road casualties in Great Britain and oil prices in Germany, it is shown that statistically detected changes in the mean of a time series as well as in the coefficients of a linear regression coincide with identifiable historical, political or economic events which might have caused these breaks.

Publisher Elsevier
ISSN/ISBN 0167-9473
edoc-URL http://edoc.unibas.ch/dok/A5252910
Full Text on edoc No
Digital Object Identifier DOI 10.1016/S0167-9473(03)00030-6
ISI-Number WOS:000185781500006
Document type (ISI) Article
 
   

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18/04/2024